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Universal Taking A Big Gamble In “Bourne Legacy” Minus Matt Damon (CMCSA, SNE)

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Universal Pictures’ restart of the “Bourne” films, minus series star Matt Damon or the character he played, will have a hard time matching the success of the previous “Bourne” movies.

U.S. weekend forecasts for “The Bourne Legacy,” which opens tomorrow, expand from the low $30-million range to approximately $40 million, in comparison with $69.3 million for the last Bourne movie in 2007. For its entire U.S. run, “Bourne Legacy” projections extend from $105 million to $160 million. The last Bourne Damon was in raked in $227.5 million in the U.S. and Canada.

Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ:CMCSA)’s NBC Universal is attempting to duplicate the continuing success of franchises such as “Fast & Furious” by making a new Bourne-like super soldier that Oscar nominee Jeremy Renner is playing. Sony Corp. (NYSE:SNE)’s most current“Spider-Man,” that exchanged Andrew Garfield for Tobey Maguire in the title role, was a failure in profiting as much as any of the earlier pictures.

Universal has been on the rebound from years of low box-office rankings with a slate including franchises like “Bourne” and more large-budget pictures, which includes “Snow White and the Huntsman,” estimated by Box Office Mojo to have a price tag of $170 million.

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